For more than 35 years, Arm Holdings (ARM) did one thing: license its chip designs to the biggest names in tech and collect royalty checks.
โ That era is over.
โ ARM launched its first-ever in-house chip, the AGI CPU, built for AI data centers.
โ The first customer?
โ Meta (META), which is spending up to $135 billion on AI infrastructure this year.
โ OpenAI, Cloudflare, and SAP are also on the list.
โ ARMโs CEO says the chip will generate $15 billion in revenue alone by 2031.
โ Thatโs six times the $4 billion ARM made in all of 2025.
โ Wall Street felt it fast.
โ ARM was up 13.2% in premarket Wednesday after closing down 1.5% the day before.
โ Citi called it the โmost significant shift in the companyโs history.โ
โ And hereโs where it shiftsโฆ
โ ARM is now competing with Amazon (AMZN), Microsoft (MSFT), Nvidia (NVDA), and Google (GOOGL), the same companies licensing its technology to build their own chips.
โ The chip runs on TSMCโs 3nm process and ARM claims it delivers double the performance-per-watt compared to x86 chips from Intel (INTC) and AMD (AMD).
โ ๐ฅก The Takeaway: ARM went from Switzerland (the neutral licensor the whole chip world was built on) to direct competitor overnight, and the stock showed it. Watch to see if AMZN and GOOGL follow Metaโs lead or start treating ARM differently.
Oil prices dropped 9% Monday after Toupee Fiasco (Trump) told CNBC heโs โvery intent on making a deal with Iran.โ
โ He also pushed back strikes on Iranโs power plants by five days after talks he said went well.
โ The news sent traders selling. Fast.
โ But Chevron (CVX) CEO Mike Wirth showed up at the CERAWeek conference in Houston with a different read.
โ The futures market is wrong.
โ The physical supply of oil is tighter than the futures contracts suggest, he said.
โ Hereโs whatโs been going downโฆ
โ The Strait of Hormuz handles about 20% of the worldโs oil supply. Since the U.S.-Israel launched strikes on Iran on Feb. 28, tanker traffic through the strait has cratered.
โ Gulf Arab producers cut output because they have no way to export. Iranian attacks damaged energy infrastructure across the region. Some governments are holding oil at home instead of exporting.
โ The futures market โน๏ธ for August delivery is sitting at $80. Traders are betting the situation clears up in a few months.
โ Wirth says the bet is off.
โ โWe got a lot of oil and gas now that is not flowing into the market,โ he said. โThere really is a difference in terms of physical supply this time versus prior incidents.โ
โ Even if the Strait reopens tomorrow, rebuilding inventories takes time.
โ ๐ฅก The Takeaway: CVX is at the center of the Iran warโs energy story. Futures say the crisis fades by August. Chevronโs CEO says the market is wrong. The next Iran headline is going to move oil stocks hard in either direction.
$CVX over the past month
โน๏ธ What's that?โ The futures market is where traders buy and sell contracts for things like oil, or gold at a price set today for a trade that happens later. Think of it like Wall Street placing an order early, which is why futures give an early read on how stocks might act before the bell.
๐ฎ Wish you had a crystal ball to predict the market?
โ Yeah, donโt we all. But letโs be real. There's no such thing. So, while you're over there reading tea leaves, weโll be over here using actual data.
Meet Swingset, the swing trading app that digs through 15+ years of stock prices, uncovering trends that repeat over 70% of the time. Itโs like that โfriendโ who always has insider info. Except legal.
Pick a trend, check your charts, and trade smarter, not harder. Our members are cashing in, like Robert with his $1,206 win.
โ Micron (MU) fell 15% this week after reporting earnings that left Wall Streetโs expectations in the dust.
โ Revenue nearly tripled from a year ago.
โ And what they're expecting next quarter? Even better.
โ So why is the stock falling?
โ Folks aren't arguing about demand. They're trying to figure out how long 80% gross margins and this memory squeeze last.
โ Micron said key customers are only getting half to two-thirds of the memory they want, while Samsung and SK Hynix are also talking like this shortage sticks around for years.
โ But after a 300% run over the past year, traders looked at the beat, saw expenses going up, and took profits.
โ Then Googleโs TurboQuant research gave one more reason to sell memory stocks, even as some analysts said the high demand helps MU.
โ ๐ฅก The Takeaway: MU beat estimates by nearly $4 billion and the stock fell anyway, so watch for whether the stock holds around the current price or keeps dropping as profit takers work through it.
$MU over the past month
๐ซ TMYK โA quick pop quiz to help you learn about the market. The more you know!โ โ
A ______ order can automatically sell a stock if it falls to a set price.
a.) market
b.) limit
c.) stop-loss
โ Scroll down for the answer!
Gimme some mo' โMore news from 'round the market. โ
โฝ Oil giants sound the alarmโ Shell (SHEL) and TotalEnergies (TTE) CEOs warned Europe is next to face tighter fuel and gas supply as the Iran war keeps the Strait of Hormuz blocked and oil near $120 a barrel [Link]
โ โ๐พ Google research spooks memory stocks Sandisk (SNDK) and Micron (MU) dropped after Googleโs TurboQuant research raised fears AI models need six times less memory to run [Link]
โ ๐ Cyber names take the hit โ CrowdStrike (CRWD), Palo Alto Networks (PANW), and Tenable (TENB) fell after a report said Anthropic is testing a new AI model called Mythos with stronger cyber capabilities [Link]
โ ๐ Space stocks pop on SpaceX news โ AST SpaceMobile (ASTS), Rocket Lab (RKLB), and Firefly Aerospace (FLY) jumped 8-14% after a report said SpaceX is set to file for its IPO this week at a $1.75 trillion valuation [Link]
โ โ๏ธ Jury finds Meta, YouTube negligent Meta (META) and Alphabet (GOOG) were found negligent in a Los Angeles social media addiction trial, with punitive damages still to be decided [Link]
๐คณ๐พ Let me check my palm pilot โEarnings events on deck this coming week.
โ โTuesday 4/14: CarMax (KMX), Citigroup (C), Johnson & Johnson (JNJ), JPMorgan Chase (JPM), Wells Fargo (WFC)
โ Wednesday 4/15: ASML (ASML), Bank of America (BAC), Kinder Morgan (KMI), Morgan Stanley (MS), PNC Financial (PNC), Progressive (PGR)
โ Thursday 4/16: Abbott (ABT), Alcoa (AA), Bank of New York Mellon (BK), Charles Schwab (SCHW), Netflix (NFLX), PepsiCo (PEP), Prologis (PLD), Taiwan Semiconductor (TSM), Travelers (TRV), U.S. Bancorp (USB)
โ Friday 4/17: Ally Financial (ALLY), Fifth Third Bancorp (FITB), Regions Financial (RF), State Street (STT), Truist Financial (TFC) โ
โ Copyright Simply Put 6935 Aliante Pkwy Ste 104-236, North Las Vegas, NV 89084 โ
This newsletter is by no means a solicitation to buy or sell any of the above-mentioned securities. It is for educational and entertainment purposes only. Any views expressed here do not necessarily reflect the views of any affiliate. Expressions of opinion are as of this date, are solely that of the writer and are subject to change without notice. All investments involve risk including the loss of principal and past performance does not guarantee future results. Always do your own research and due diligence. This newsletter may contain affiliate links and we may receive commissions, at no cost to you, for purchases made through links in this email. The MRKTcap team often invests in the same stocks that we cover.
โ