August 16, 2026
ποΈ MRKTcap
Brought to you by
π₯³ Happy Sunday.
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In this newsletter we're diving into:
πΈ A company just posted its biggest loss ever, and Wall Street's throwing it a party
π One investor's chased this deal for 20 years, and he might finally pull the trigger
πΈ One order sent a handful of stocks flying, and a president's kid owns the biggest winner
Plus, the forum that fueled the meme stock era just joined the club it used to clown.
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Make yourself comfy ποΈ and let's get into it...
Market Crowdβ
βHow the market did this week.
Dow
53,732.41
-304.52
-0.56%
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S&P
7,785.76
+28.12
+0.36%
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Nasdaq
26,729.16
+38.54
+0.14%
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*As of market close on Friday, August 14th.
Pre-Market Playβ
βA market beat to start your week.
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| Still Fly |
| Big Tymers |
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0:44
3:45
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π₯οΈ CoreWeave's losing more than ever...
And Wall Street's cheering it on anyway.
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CoreWeave (CRWV) rents out the AI computing power that companies like Meta (META) and Anthropic need to run their models, but can't turn a profit.
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Revenue for the quarter hit $2.58 billion, up 112% from a year ago.
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The net loss grew too... $626 million, more than double last year's.
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CRWV jumped 12% right after the numbers came out, then kept climbing... up 18% by the next morning.
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Here's why...
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The company's order backlog (all the future orders it hasn't delivered yet) now sits at $104 billion, plus another $25 billion in new customer deals signed for Q3.
CoreWeave, maybe.
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To keep building its data centers, CoreWeave's carrying $35 billion in debt, mostly to pay for Nvidia (NVDA) chips.
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That's a lot of borrowed money... but CoreWeave's finally betting on itself too.
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The company just told investors to expect $960 million to $1.15 billion in adjusted profit for the full year, its first real profit signal since going public.
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First time they've said that out loud.
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Meta tacked on another $21 billion to its CoreWeave deal this year, plus $1 billion from Jane Street, so the backlog's more than paper promises.
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CRWV is up 26% this year, more than double the S&P 500's gain, racing Amazon (AMZN), Google (GOOGL), and Microsoft (MSFT) to build data centers those three run at a profit.
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π₯‘ The Takeaway: Watch CRWV heading into Q3 earnings, because it just promised Wall Street a profitable back half, and the $104 billion backlog only holds up if those orders keep coming in.
π Peltz is trying again...
And this time he might actually put a ring on it.
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Wendy's (WEN) jumped as much as 15% Wednesday and got halted for volatility after news broke that Nelson Peltz's Trian Fund Management is putting together a takeover bid for the burger chain.
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That's not a small pop for a stock that was only up about 1% all year.
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Trian's pulling in backup too... other investors, including BlueFive Capital and a major Wendy's franchisee called the Flynn Group, are reportedly helping build the offer.
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Peltz has been circling this company for over 20 years, buying up shares and pushing for change from the inside.
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He ran an activist campaign back in 2005, spent 17 years on Wendy's board, and got named chairman emeritus in 2024.
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He even considered buying Wendy's outright back in 2022... and walked away.
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This time might be different.
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Wendy's has posted six straight quarters of falling sales, cycled through three CEOs in three years, and just lost its spot as the second-biggest burger chain in the country to Burger King (QSR).
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Undervalued and struggling.
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That's exactly the kind of setup an activist investor waits for.
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Trian and Peltz together already own about 24% of Wendy's stock, according to a February filing that called the company "undervalued."
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Neither Peltz nor Wendy's has confirmed the report yet.
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π₯‘ The Takeaway: Watch WEN for confirmation of an actual bid, because rumor-fueled pops like this one fade fast if nobody follows through.
πΈ Drones just got Toupee Fiasco's blessing...
And one company on the list has his son's fingerprints on it.
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Toupee Fiasco (Trump) just signed an order taxing drone parts that come from overseas, and four drone stocks took off the day it landed.
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Unusual Machines (UMAC) popped 15%. Red Cat (RCAT) climbed about 7%.
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Not bad for two companies most people have never heard of.
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AeroVironment (AVAV) and Kratos (KTOS) climbed too.
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The White House wants U.S. drone parts built at home instead of shipped in, mostly from China, calling it a security move.
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Big military-grade drones face a 100% tariff. Smaller ones get 25%, and the tax varies by country too.
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Here's what's wild...
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Unusual Machines added Donald Trump Jr. to its advisory board back in November 2024, and he was holding more than 331,000 shares as of that same month.
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So the stock that jumped the hardest off his dad's order also happens to carry his son's name on the board.
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This isn't a one-off either. Toupee Fiasco's already running a $1 billion program to build cheap drones on U.S. soil, with the next phase kicking off this month.
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His 2027 defense budget ask is a record $1.5 trillion, with $75 billion earmarked for drones alone. Not exactly pocket change.
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The riskiest drones get taxed in 21 days. Everything else has 180 days.
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π₯‘ The Takeaway: Watch UMAC, RCAT, AVAV, and KTOS as the 21-day countdown runs out, because a tariff that actually takes effect is what turns a one-day pop into something that sticks.
π« TMYK
βA quick pop quiz to help you learn about the market. The more you know!β
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The ______ is the set price at which an options contract can be exercised.
Click your answer below:
a.) premium
b.) strike price
c.) limit price
Gimme some mo'
βMore news from 'round the market.
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π½ Reddit crashes the institutional party
Reddit (RDDT) is joining the S&P 500 on Aug 18, forcing every index fund to buy in whether they like it or not here's the irony nobody's talking about β
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βπ³ Nvidia turns chips into collateral
Nvidia teamed up with six Wall Street giants on a $500 billion plan to help customers borrow against AI chips instead of draining their own cash here's why skeptics aren't buying it β
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βπ‘ Cisco's AI seat just got real
Cisco (CSCO) crushed earnings and still got sold off, because hyperscaler orders nearly doubling wasn't enough for a stock already up 60% this year here's the number Wall Street actually wanted β
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βπ Buffett's piggy bank finally cracks
Berkshire Hathaway (BRK.B) spent $4.5 billion on buybacks and became a net stock buyer for the first time in 15 quarters here's where the money went β
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βπ Lilly's pill crosses the pond
Eli Lilly (LLY) just won its first approval to sell Foundayo outside the US, landing right in Novo Nordisk's two-month head start in the UK see how it plans to catch up β
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βπ’οΈ Greenland says not so fast
Greenland Energy (GLND) delayed its Arctic drilling plans after getting caught skipping a permit, and the stock cratered 44% on the news see who's tied to this deal β
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βπ€ AI agents spooked Wall Street
CrowdStrike (CRWD) and Palo Alto Networks (PANW) hit brand new highs after Black Hat's biggest takeaway was that AI agents can now hack on their own here's who's cashing in β
π€³πΎ Let me check my palm pilot
βEarnings events on deck this coming week.
Monday 8/17: BHP Group Limited (BHP)
Tuesday 8/18: Amer Sports Inc. (AS), Baidu Inc. (BIDU), Home Depot Inc. (HD), Klarna Group plc (KLAR)
Wednesday 8/19: Analog Devices Inc. (ADI), EstΓ©e Lauder Companies Inc. (EL), Lowe's Companies Inc. (LOW), Target Corporation (TGT), TJX Companies Inc. (TJX), Viking Holdings Ltd (VIK)
Thursday 8/20: Alibaba Group Holding Limited (BABA), NetEase Inc. (NTES), Ross Stores Inc. (ROST), Walmart Inc. (WMT)
Friday 8/21: BJ's Wholesale Club Holdings Inc. (BJ)
What's earnings?
Market Outlook
βA look at how the market does historically over the next week.
Dow
Down 10 out of 15 years
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S&P
Down 8 out of 15 years
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Nasdaq
Down 8 out of 15 years
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Data provided by Swingset.
Trend of the Week
AT&T Inc (T) has a trend of going down over the next week.
Itβs gone down 12 out of the last 15 years moving an average of -1.71% and projected to repeat this move August 14th - 21st.
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AT&T Inc (T)
As of Aug 14, 2026 Β· π Earnings Oct 21, 2026
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$24.89 |
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Trend Type
1 Week Down
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Recurrence
12 / 15
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Avg Change
-1.71%
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Trend History YEAR Β· CHANGE
| 2011 |
-1.25% |
| 2012 |
-1.77% |
| 2013 |
-3.71% |
| 2014 |
-0.77% |
| 2015 |
-1.97% |
| 2016 |
-4.90% |
| 2017 |
-0.47% |
| 2018 |
+3.60% |
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| 2019 |
+3.14% |
| 2020 |
-0.80% |
| 2021 |
-2.41% |
| 2022 |
-2.75% |
| 2023 |
+0.43% |
| 2024 |
-0.46% |
| 2025 |
-0.35% |
| 2026 |
Aug 14 β Aug 21 |
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To wealth in every sense of the word,
Tela Holcomb
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Copyright Simply Put
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This newsletter is by no means a solicitation to buy or sell any of the above-mentioned securities. It is for educational and entertainment purposes only. Any views expressed here do not necessarily reflect the views of any affiliate. Expressions of opinion are as of this date, are solely that of the writer and are subject to change without notice. All investments involve risk including the loss of principal and past performance does not guarantee future results. Always do your own research and due diligence. This newsletter may contain affiliate links and we may receive commissions, at no cost to you, for purchases made through links in this email. The MRKTcap team often invests in the same stocks that we cover.
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